The Future of Employment: How susceptible are jobs to computerisation?
pdf The Future of Employment: How susceptible are jobs to computerisation? Beliebt
Von Bodenseezentrum Innovation 4.0 In Studien Markiert in Arbeiten 4.0, Arbeitswelt 1561 Downloads
2013-09-17_Studie_Osborne & Frey_The Future of Employment_How susceptible are jobs to computerisation.pdf
We examine how susceptible jobs are to computerisation. To assess this, we begin by implementing a novel methodology to estimate the probability of computerisation for 702 detailed occupations, using a Gaussian process classifier. Based on these estimates, we examine expected impacts of future computerisation on US labour market outcomes, with the primary objective of analysing the number of jobs at risk and the relationship between an occupation’s probability of computerisation, wages and educational attainment. According to our estimates, about 47 percent of total US employment is at risk. We further provide evidence that wages and educational attainment exhibit a strong negative relationship with an occupation’s probability of computerisation.